GREG GAMBLE’S 2008 PIGSKIN PICKS - 26-18 ATS...59%
NCAA: 10-4 - NFL: 8-8 - Teasers: 8-6 - Hotties: 711-0
BTW, I’m halfway home on my NCAA/NFL TEASER as the Seminoles covered last night, but if you missed it…no worries my degenerate friend. Simply tease one of your favorites w/ the Texans (-3 at home) and thank me later for the 6 free points…Houston rolls!
Considering most of you are diehard daily readers, I don’t need to tell you my NCAA ATS picks earlier this week were Ohio State -3 (paired with Buckeye red thong lingerie) & Memphis +9 (paired with tiny Tiger jean shorts) and simply owe you my Sunday Funday NFL selection:
BALTIMORE RAVENS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS (-3)
I honestly believe the last time I invested on the Dolphins as a favorite, my girl Gauge had not yet retired from the adult industry (I luv the cinematic classic Aurora Snow vs Gauge TOUCH ME HERE to find out more on Gauge). But just like how Cougars have unexpectedly started to excite me as the years have past, I’ve also fallen for the Wildcat offense in Miami. Especially with the extremely accurate arm of Chad Pennington offsetting their unique rushing attack, the Dolphins have actually been more balanced than people think (btw, checking out the riffle on Jake Delhomme, maybe Chad should opt for Tommy John surgery in the off-season regardless).
But the biggest reason to believe in the Dolphins march to mediocrity are the fingerprints that have designed the roster. While 'The Big Tuna' brought in impact players that understand his style and plays the game the right way, for all the hatred I have for Nick Satan, the Bama headmaster is one the best coaches in the country and had his hands in the Miami cookie jar for a couple years bringing-in the top collegiate talent. As a result, the foundation of the Dolphins is extremely solid and should improve with each passing week.
While the simplicity of the Wildcat offense has thrown a loop to opposing defenses (let’s put are two best runners in the backfield and not waste anytime having a slow white dude hand-off the pill), some cats forget Ronnie Brown was actually having a Pro Bowl-type season before tearing his ACL last year. Almost a year removed, Brown’s averaging a solid 4.7 per carry and actually looks fresher late in games with Ricky Williams sharing the load (60 carries so far for Smokey). While Ricky’s numbers probably hasn't impressed the novice handicappers, averaging about 4 yards a carry in the trenches has been the reason Ronnie has found nice holes outside the tackles.
I know Ray-Ray & the veteran Ravens D leads the league in yards allowed per game, but considering their first four contests were against Cincy, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, & Tennessee…let’s just say I expect them to drop with each passing week & to wear down as the season rolls on. While Baltimore has stuffed the traditional power-rushing attacks, the collegiate twist Miami has added might lead to some big plays Sunday. On the outside, while nobody could identify WR Greg Camarillo (21 catches) on the street and speedster Ted Ginn Jr. & Hawaii’s former vacuum Davone Bass are averaging under 10 ypc, the offense calls for quick patterns on the outside to loosen things up for their underrated TEs down the middle (Anthony Fasano 15 rec, 13.9 ypc – David Martin 12 rec, 13.5 ypc) as opponents LOAD-UP IN THE BOX (someone call Vivid Entertainment, I think I have new movie title!). Especially with the entire secondary for the Ravens banged-up (Samari Rolle & Dawan Landry – Out, Ed Reed – Questionable, & Chris McAlister – Probable), look for the Thundering Herd Homeboy to find plenty of openings & improve on an already impressive 69 comp%.
As for the Ravens offense and how they match some of my Lovely Ladies...Here's the skinny TOUCH ME HERE for more ATS Magic!
Even when Baltimore opened the season with a couple home victories, considering 6-6 rookie QB Joe Flacco’s 38-yeard TD scamper was the only highlight versus KC and he only mustered 129 yards through the air against Cleveland, I’m definitely not that impressed. Now, having lost three straight and unable to find a consistent contributor on the ground (Willis McGahee - always banged-up, 260 LB Le’Ron McClain – one dimensional bruiser, Ray Rice – unproven & undersized rookie), the offense should struggle to break double-digits against a starless but extremely disciplined, fundamentally sound defense.
In the passing game, the Ravens are without a game-breaker at WR, not to mention Todd Heap is already starting to show signs of wear-n-tear after some lengthy years of run-blocking. The biggest difference between the two air attacks is Pennington’s quick release and understanding of veteran defenses, while also having some scatback speed on the short routes with Ginn & Bass. On the other side, Coach Harbaugh and the staff have simplified things for Flacco to aid in his transition, but as a result, teams have started to sit on the run and simply watch for the play-action pass…and that’s not a good sign with Miami’s disciplined group continuing to gain confidence.
And finally, while both coaching staffs are new, Big Tuna has corralled some of his favorites from over the years, including giving the keys to Parcells protégé Tony Sparano, and has already drawn league-wide praise for the combination of old-school teachers and innovative newcomers. On Baltimore’s side, let’s just say I’m not yet sold on Jim Harbaugh and expect the combination of a road game with a rookie QB not to make him look any better.
Final Score: RAVENS 9 DOLPHINS 20