GREG GAMBLE’S 2008 PIGSKIN PICKS: 51-31 ATS...62%
NFL 18-14 - NCAA 17-10 - Teasers 16-7 - Ladies 82-0
To skip my Pigskin Luv & head to my NBA Pick...TOUCH ME HERE
Talk about a perfect morning…no barking from the dog, no smog, my girl cooked breakfast w/ plenty of hog, I remembered I was 5-0-1 ATS this weekend (not to mention Teasin’ T-Bone was nearly perfect as well), and my fantasy squad includes TO, Randy Moss, & Michael Turner! And even better for the degenerate compadres that jumped on my bandwagon, you didn’t have to do the painstaking ATS research and you don’t have to send me a thank you card...simply spread the word of Insideplays.com! With that, let’s hit-up some Monday Night magic to keep this thing rolling like Kirstie Alley through the buffet line.
GREEN BAY PACKERS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (PICK)
I know that Saints season has been more inconsistent than Heather Locklear’s psyche, but through all the BS, they still lead the league in yards from scrimmage, while only trailing the Packers by 23 ypg in team defense. QB Drew Brees (67%, 18 TD, 11 INT) has been brilliant this season, and while everybody knows the Pack have two solid cover corners (Charles Woodson & Al Harris), they don’t have much depth in the secondary and should struggle with the three, four, & five WR-sets they’ll see at nausea tonight.
Especially with the unique atmosphere in the Superdome where the Saints have only lost once this season, Sean Payton won’t waste anytime getting the pigskin down the field. The AARP duo of Harris & Woodson are overly aggressive and will not have same effectiveness on the speedy surface as they have on the frozen tundra. With lil Lance Moore (52 rec, 5 TD) and the TE combo of Jeremy Shockey & Billy Miller (58 rec.) utilizing Brees accuracy on intermediate routes, things have opened-up on the outside for Henderson’s sprinter speed (25.2 avg, 3 TD) and the jump-ball abilities of the 6-4 Colston (16.8 avg).
While Kim Kardashian’s boy-toy will probably miss tonight’s game, RB Pierre Thomas has surprised plenty with his strength between the tackles (4.6 ypc), while becoming a legitimate threat out of the backfield in the passing game (last 2 games: 9 catches, 90 yards). Throw-in the veteran presence of Deuce McAllister looking to prove he can still play and a Packer run defense ranked near the bottom, and I expect the Saints to move the ball with ease tonight.
As for when the Packers have the ball, I can’t tell a lie, I fully expect Green Bay to move the ball and put plenty of points on the board. That being said, Rodgers has struggled at times on the road this season and lost his last two away from Lambeau completing only 55% of his passes. With both teams desperate for a win to stay in the playoff race, I expect the Superdome noise to cause Favre’s understudy some problems so expect Green Bay to run early and often with Ryan Grant & Brandon Jackson. But like most teams playing in the Superdome and the wildness on Monday Night, don’t be surprised to find the Packers throwing more & more as the game wears-on leading to a few costly turnovers.
How will the Packers handle the party atmosphere in New Orleans...I suggest CLICKING HERE to find out!
In closing, with both teams sitting in similar situations, looking at two obvious factors made this an easy play for me…#1, the Saints are 4-1 at home, while the Packers are 2-3 on the road. #2, Drew Brees has more experience and is a better signal-caller than Aaron Rodgers. As for how I see the total going (ova/unda 51), since my azz has been so successful teasing and I luv the Association more than a stripper in Hot-Lanta, I’m teasing the ova down to 45 with a team that’s lucky enough to play the Sacramento Kings tonight.
Final Score: PACKERS 27 SAINTS 31
GREEN BAY PACKERS @ NO SAINTS (OVA 45)
SACTOWN KINGS @ PORTLAND BLAZERS (-7.5)
Even with Kevin Martin, the Kings are one of the worst teams in the NBA. Without Kevin Martin, they are NBDL-bad. The Kings actually just played the deepest squad in the NBA (Blazers) on Friday at home and lost by 21 points…so why would anybody think a trip to Portland after playing the Lakers late last night will be any better? With a frontcourt rotation of Spencer Hawes, rookie Jason Thompson, the aging Brad Miller, and only Kenny Thomas & Mikki Moore off the bench, look for Portland to dominate the paint tonight, while opening things-up on the outside for their talented shooters. Especially with Portland looking to bounce back after a tough loss in Phoenix Saturday, I expect the rallied-up faithful of possibly the best home-crowd in the Association to have McMillian’s youngsters playing with playoff intensity from the get-go…Blazers by 12-18 points