GREG GAMBLE’S 2008 PIGSKIN PICKS: 44-27 ATS...62%
NFL 14-12 - NCAA 17-9 - Teasers 13-6 - Happiness 71-0
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NEW YORK JETS (+3.5) @ NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Considering this off-season I joked Grandpa Favre should stay home & play Sudoku with his wife…and was been burned like Travis Henry every time a chick said she was on the pill when I’ve played against the Pats this season, I know I look like a hypocrite taking the Vicodin-powered signal-caller over the Hooded-Genius tonight, but this ain’t about me…this about ur opportunity to Make it Rain this weekend!
To start, I know Brett had an awful NFC Championship game in what was supposed to be “Favre type weather”, but give me a break…that was a Witch’s Tit teased w/ ice cubs-cold! In general, while Favre’s normal mistakes look twice as bad in shitty weather, his experience & overall success (we talkin’ MFin wins!) is beyond legendary…even if he is inching closer to the AARP-discounted Wrangler jeans era. Tonight, it should be in the 40s w/ more likelihood for rain than the likelihood Jassie used some inhibitors before performing in “Old Geezers, Young Teasers” (BTW, I definitely recommend a google search of Jassie).
On the Pats side, while I’d categorize Mr. Cassell’s emergency performance this season as “almost” spectacular considering he hadn’t started a game since he was trying to impress young cheerleaders for Homecoming date, I’m guessing as the weather changes and the season progresses Matt will become more and more of liability. Thus far, along with the brilliantly-simple schemes the coaching staff implemented to ensure USC’s former clipboard-holder doesn’t put them in a position to lose, Cassell’s been extremely efficient managing the offense and turned the “check-down underneath” into an art form. That being said, the catalyst for Cassell & Billy Belichick’s reasonable success has been a patchwork backfield running between the tackles and behind an O-Line much more accustomed to pass-blocking.
But the biggest difference for the Pats rushing attack this week (the last 4 weeks they’ve faced some of the worst rush D’s in the league: #30 STL, #27 Denver, #24 Indy, & #15 Buffalo), they face a dominating DL anchored by the manchild Kris Jenkins and ranked #5 in the league against the rush, not to mention fuming with hatred for the Pats. Overall, NY is solid defensively and should look even better w/ the rain forcing an already ground-oriented attack to become even more one-dimensional. While I’m sure Cassell will give Randy of few shots deep, the quick-hits to Welker might be a little riskier w/ a slippery pigskin and will force the green-QB to make more “reads” than “scripted-throws.”
As for when the Mangini has the rock, while Favre’s downfield ability & unconventional style has opened things up and given a normally pedestrian-offense some life, the running game has become lethal with a revamped & massive O-Line and the contrasting styles of Thomas “Downhill” Jones (750 yrds, 4.7, 8 TD – 20 rec. TD) & Leon “Bounce-it-Out” Washington (222 yrds, 4.8, 2 TD - 22 rec. TD). While Belichick’s D is fundamental sound, without the luxury of an offense enabling them some rest, the veteran group looks gassed and should find the remaining schedule a little more taxing than in year’s past.
While plenty of media outlets have reported Favre hasn’t looked as sharp and might be nursing an injury, I’d like to introduce you to my friend “Grandpa Possum”. Sure he’s banged-up, but if anything, that just means will see more emphasis on the ground attack and quick drops in the passing game before he opens things-up with play-action. With Coles & Cotchery looking more comfortable by the week with Favre and TE Dustin Keller (last week: 6 rec, 108 yrds, TD) realizing he can make a fortune by watching tapes of Bubba “Play action 3-yard TD” Franks and Mark “Will you go to prom with me?” Chmura, I expect the Jets to easily control the field-position battle tonight.
In closing, while the oddsmakers seem convinced Favre’s wildness...
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In closing, while the oddsmakers seem convinced Favre’s wildness falls right into the baiting-hands of the Hooded-Genius, I simply believe the Jets are better suited on both sides of the ball at this point in the season and have better personal considering tonight’s weather conditions. Throw-in the Matt Cassell versus Brett Favre match-up and I’d be sillier than Viking on airplane with a Wizzinator to take the Pats tonight. Jet’s win outright Beeatches!
Final Score: JETS 20 PATS 17
SPECIAL ALERT - SPECIAL ALERT - SPECIAL ALERT
And as a result this brilliant analysis, I’m convinced I can double-up my dough with some teaser action on tonight’s contest. With the emotional rivalry, weather conditions, and playoff implications on Foxsborough’s notoriously-bad field, I expect a low-scoring, battle for field position-type of game. I kinda like it unda 42.5, but luv it at unda 48.5…which means it's time for:
GREGGY G'S THRUSDAY NIGHT TEASER SPECIAL
NEW YORK JETS (teased +9.5) @ NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
NEW YORK JETS @ NEW ENGLAND PATS (teased OVA 48.5)
Cause if u didn’t know, now ya know Homeboys!