GREG GAMBLE’S 2008-09 HARDWOOD Luv: 132-105 ats…56%
NBA 91-82 - NCAA 33-19 - Teasers 8-4 - Church League 69-0
ORLANDO MAGIC @ CLEVELAND CAVALIERS (UNDA 189)
In the Cavs eight straight victories to start the postseason, the Pistons & Hawks combined to average 78 ppg with Hotlanta topping out at 85 in Game Two. After almost a 10-day layoff, Cleveland opened the Conference Finals by allowing Dwight & Co. to drop 107 in their miraculous come from behind victory. And while the so-called hardwood gurus suddenly believe Orlando now has the magic formula to beat the favorites, I believe the Bron-Brons went into halftime a little overconfident with a 14-pt lead and didn’t take Stan The Hedgehog’s motivational techniques seriously.
I know the Magic also had success against Cleveland during the regular season and provide some match-up difficulties, but I truly believe you’ll see the best defensive team in the league adjust and play with unbelievable focus tonight. In Game One, Orlando shot over 55% from the field, 45% from three, and 86% from the charity stripe...do you really think that will happen again? And while the Association gurus have been telling us Orlando will not come out sluggish after stealing Game One in Boston last round and then getting blow-out the following contest, I believe it’s almost impossible for the Magic to have the same desperation they played with in the 2nd half Wednesday.
As for how the Coach Mike Brown will game-plan to stop Hedo, Dwight, & Rashard tonight, I think the key for Cleveland is to slow the tempo and let King James smoother Turkoglu up top. As for Howard, I think you’ll see more Big Ben and a more conscious effort from everybody to keep him from getting so deep. In addition, D-Freak making all those crazy hook-shots is a good thing for Cleveland because he’ll think he can do it again. And finally, while Lewis either has a small guard or slow-footed PF on him, I believe that’s the match-up the Cavs can sacrifice tonight. In Game One, Rashard knockdown open jumpers when he was left wide-open as Cleveland tried to scramble around the Hedo pick-n-roll. But if The King is properly matched-up against Turk, I can’t see how he handles the strength & quickness of the MVP to effectively cause miss-matches at the top of the key.
You know why they're acting like this...
...they TOUCHED ME HERE and got excited!
In closing, I believe you’ll see....TOUCH ME HERE
In closing, I believe you’ll see some crazy defensive intensity and creative adjustments from the Cavs tonight that turns this into a much slower paced game. And while I’d love to have the balls to take Cleveland minus the points, with the game hovering around nine and all the late three-point ability from Orlando, I’m just sticking with the under on the ATS docket…MAGIC/CAVS COMBINE FOR 176-184 PTS